Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.003993 0.004196 0.004404 0.004634 0.004880 0.005137 0.005425
2025-01-05 0.003579 0.003877 0.004196 0.004563 0.004975 0.005426 0.005958
2025-01-12 0.003365 0.003720 0.004111 0.004575 0.005113 0.005723 0.006471
2025-01-19 0.003099 0.003477 0.003901 0.004416 0.005028 0.005740 0.006639
2025-01-26 0.002980 0.003389 0.003857 0.004437 0.005143 0.005985 0.007078
2025-02-02 0.002935 0.003381 0.003901 0.004558 0.005377 0.006378 0.007716
2025-02-09 0.002805 0.003265 0.003807 0.004503 0.005386 0.006487 0.007994
2025-02-16 0.002714 0.003189 0.003756 0.004496 0.005450 0.006664 0.008364
2025-02-23 0.002623 0.003107 0.003693 0.004468 0.005484 0.006800 0.008682
2025-03-02 0.002574 0.003075 0.003691 0.004515 0.005614 0.007064 0.009187
2025-03-09 0.002492 0.002999 0.003627 0.004478 0.005629 0.007172 0.009475
2025-03-16 0.002415 0.002925 0.003562 0.004437 0.005634 0.007265 0.009743
2025-03-23 0.002322 0.002830 0.003471 0.004358 0.005588 0.007286 0.009914
2025-03-30 0.002241 0.002747 0.003392 0.004293 0.005558 0.007330 0.010121
2025-04-06 0.002195 0.002709 0.003370 0.004304 0.005633 0.007527 0.010572
2025-04-13 0.002091 0.002591 0.003237 0.004157 0.005478 0.007377 0.010470
2025-04-20 0.002056 0.002563 0.003225 0.004177 0.005561 0.007583 0.010945
2025-04-27 0.002057 0.002583 0.003277 0.004289 0.005782 0.008008 0.011802
2025-05-04 0.002000 0.002523 0.003217 0.004238 0.005760 0.008056 0.012033
2025-05-11 0.001961 0.002486 0.003189 0.004231 0.005803 0.008207 0.012448
2025-05-18 0.001918 0.002443 0.003149 0.004206 0.005816 0.008310 0.012784
2025-05-25 0.001899 0.002432 0.003156 0.004249 0.005935 0.008587 0.013448
2025-06-01 0.001857 0.002388 0.003112 0.004215 0.005932 0.008665 0.013754